The Moon From the Dents Alone

MemoTOE 5.20 — The Moon From the Dents Alone
AuthorBrett Murrell
Versionv1.0
DateSeptember 2026
SeriesTOE — Theory of Everything
Categorieslife-science
The Moon does not run a clean ellipse. It speeds up and slows down through the month, its orbit stretches and relaxes, its nearest point creeps round the Earth and its tilt turns backwards. Astronomers from Ptolemy to Tycho to Newton spent two thousand years pinning these down.

This memo runs the Sun, the Earth and the Moon as three dents that add — nothing else, for six years — and reads the Moon’s motion off the result. Every classical term comes out: the evection at 1.275° against 1.274° observed, the Variation at 0.659° against 0.658°, the perigee circling in 8.86 years against 8.85.

Two inputs come from observation — the length of the month and the average stretch of the orbit. Everything else is output. The Sun’s whole hand on the Moon is in the dents.

What this memo does and does not do

It tests the dent method of 1.12 — The Actions of the Aether against the hardest ordinary problem in the sky: three bodies, the Moon’s motion, measured for centuries.

The summed dents are Newton’s arithmetic, so this confirms the method. It does not by itself choose between the Aether and curved space — section 6.

1.275°Evection from the dents. Observed 1.274°
0.659°Variation from the dents. Observed 0.658°
8.86Years for the perigee to circle. Observed 8.85
18.59Years for the nodes to circle. Observed 18.61

1. The Moon Does Not Keep Time

A single body round a single mass runs a fixed ellipse forever. The Moon does not, and the differences were seen long before anyone could explain them.

WhenWhoWhat was found
AntiquityThe Moon’s nearest point circles the Earth in about 9 years; its tilt line turns backwards in about 18.6.
c. 150 ADPtolemy, after HipparchusThe evection: the Moon runs up to 1.27° ahead of or behind a plain ellipse, over about a month.
1590Tycho BraheThe Variation: faster than expected at new and full moon, slower at the quarters.
c. 1600Tycho, KeplerThe annual equation: the month runs slightly long in January, when the Earth is nearest the Sun.
1687NewtonShows in the Principia that the Sun causes the Variation. Gets about half of the perigee’s motion.
1749ClairautFinds the other half: the approximations, not the law, were short.
1919E. W. BrownTables of the Moon’s motion from Newton’s law, carried to hundreds of terms.

2. Why The Sun Moves The Moon

The Sun’s gradient at the Moon is 2.2 times the Earth’s. The Moon still goes round the Earth, because the Earth and the Moon fall toward the Sun together — the same reason the space station crew feel nothing. The shared part moves the pair round the Sun and does nothing to the Moon’s orbit about the Earth.

What is left is the difference between the Sun’s gradient at the Moon and at the Earth. At new and full moon it points outward along the Sun line, 1.13 % of the Earth’s hold on the Moon. At the quarters it points inward at half that. The same difference raises the solar tide on the Earth.

The Moon From the Dents Alone - Moral's MarkThe Earth and Moon fall toward the Sun together. What is left acting on the Moon is the difference in the Sun's gradient between the Moon and the Earth: outward along the Sun line at new and full moon, inward at the quarters. Sun Earth new moon stretched outward full moon stretched outward first quarter: squeezed inward last quarter: squeezed inward The Earth and Moon fall toward the Sun together. Only the difference in the Sun’s gradient between Moon and Earth acts on the Moon: 1.13 % of the Earth’s hold, outward at new and full moon. Arrow lengths: outward twice the inward, to scale with each other. Distances schematic.
Figure 2.1 — Why the Sun moves the Moon: the difference in the Sun’s gradient across the Moon’s orbit.

Around the Earth, the Earth’s dent and the Sun’s difference combine into the dent the Moon actually sits in:

The dent the Moon sits inContours of the combined dent around the Earth: the Earth's own dent plus the Sun's difference. Close in they are circles; further out they stretch along the Sun line, and at 1.71 million km they open at two saddle points, beyond which the Sun takes over. The Moon's orbit and orbits two, three and four times further out are marked. Moon’s orbit saddle saddle to the Sun Coral: the edge of the Earth’s hold, 1.71 million km — 4.46 Moon distances. Beyond it the Sun takes over. Blue: lines of equal depth in the dent the Moon sits in. Close in, circles; further out, stretched along the Sun line.
Figure 2.2 — The dent the Moon sits in, with orbits at one to four Moon distances.
OrbitDistanceSun’s difference as a share of the Earth’s hold
½ ×192,000 km0.14 %
The Moon384,000 km1.13 %
2 ×769,000 km9.0 %
3 ×1.15 million km30.5 %
4 ×1.54 million km72 %
4.46 ×1.71 million km100 % — the edge of the Earth’s hold

The Sun’s share grows as the cube of the distance. The Moon sits well inside, where the dent is nearly round.

Outward at new and full moon, inward at the quarters, the same on both sides. Every effect in this memo follows from that pattern.

3. The Run

Set upThree masses, three dents

ItemValueWhere from
MassesSun 1.98847 × 1030, Earth 5.9722 × 1024, Moon 7.342 × 1022 kgstandard figures
Force on each bodyits mass × the gradient of the other two dents1.12, rules 1–6
Earth’s orbit1 AU, eccentricity 0.0167observed
Moon’s tilt5.145° to the Earth’s orbitobserved
Input 1month set to 27.3217 daysobserved — fixes the Moon’s distance
Input 2average stretch set so the main ellipse term is 6.289°observed — fixes how elliptical
Integrationsix years, 12-figure accuracy

No relativity, no shadow term, no fitted coefficient. The results in section 4 were read off the run afterwards.

Two setup errors, found and corrected

A Moon started on an exactly circular orbit rang. With the Sun present, a perfect circle is not an orbit the Moon can hold, and it set off a false 1.3° wobble at the Moon’s own 27.6-day period. The fix: shoot for the starting speed that leaves no free wobble.

The stretch was first set at its peak, not its average. That gave a main ellipse term of 4.06° instead of 6.29°. The fix: set the start so the average matches.

4. What Came Out

EffectFrom the dentsObservedRatio
Perigee, full circle8.86 years8.85 years1.001
Nodes, full circle backwards18.59 years18.61 years0.999
Evection1.275°1.274°1.001
Variation0.659°0.658°1.002
Second ellipse term0.214°0.214°0.999
Annual equation−0.182°−0.186°0.976
Tilt term−0.107°−0.114°0.943
Orbit’s stretch, range0.026 to 0.0770.026 to 0.077

Left over after these terms: 0.089°, the sum of the many smaller terms not fitted.

Why the Moon runs fast and slow. Between new and full moon and the quarters, the Sun’s difference leans along the orbit:

The Sun's difference around the Moon's orbitThe Moon at eight positions around the Earth, each with an arrow for the Sun's difference acting on it. Sun Earth Moon’s motion full moon fastest new moon fastest quarter — slowest quarter — slowest slowing speeding up slowing speeding up Arrows: the Sun’s difference on the Moon. Outward at new and full moon, 1.13 % of the Earth’s hold; inward at the quarters, half that. In between it leans along the orbit — Tycho’s Variation. Arrow lengths to scale with each other; greatly enlarged against the Earth’s hold.
Figure 4.1 — The Sun’s difference at eight places round the Moon’s orbit.

The Variation, drawn. On a Moon started with no free wobble, its speed round the Earth through one month:

The Moon From the Dents Alone - Moral's MarkThe Moon's speed round the Earth against its phase, from the dent run. Fastest at new and full moon, slowest at the quarters. 12.813.013.2newfirst quarterfulllast quarternew 13.29°/day 12.79°/day Degrees per day Fastest at new and full moon, slowest at the quarters: 3.9 % apart. Tycho’s Variation, from the dents.
Figure 4.2 — The Variation: the Moon’s speed through the month, from the dents.

The evection, drawn. The stretch of the orbit, averaged over each month, across the six years:

The Moon From the Dents Alone - Moral's MarkThe eccentricity of the Moon's orbit, averaged over each month, over six years of the dent run. It swings up and down with peaks about every 205 days. 0.0450.0550.0650123456 Eccentricity, monthly average Years Peaks about every 205 days: most stretched when the Sun lies along the orbit’s long axis.
Figure 4.3 — The evection: the Moon’s orbit stretching and relaxing, from the dents.

5. The Two Small Misses

The annual equation comes out 2 % small and the tilt term 6 % small. Both trace to starting values set once and not refined: the Moon’s tilt was set at its starting value rather than its average, and the Earth started at the nearest point of its orbit. Neither points to missing physics; both close by tuning the start the same way the stretch was tuned.

6. What This Proves, And What It Does Not

ProvedThe dents carry the Sun’s whole hand on the Moon

Summing three dents, and nothing else, gives every classical irregularity of the Moon — the ones that took from Ptolemy to Clairaut to explain — to within a few parts in a thousand.

What it does not settle

The summed dents are Newton’s arithmetic, so this is the result Newton’s law gives. Relativity’s corrections to the Moon’s orbit are around a millionth the size of these terms. So the run confirms the method; it does not choose between the Aether and curved space.

That choice is made where the two give different numbers. The next place is Mercury: the same method with every planet gives its orbit 531 arcseconds a century of turning against 574 measured. The author proposes Aether flow for the remaining 43 — E.4 Mercury’s Perihelion and T.7.

7. The Numbers

Terms Used Here

WordWhat it means
DentThe lowered pressure a mass makes in the Aether around it.
GradientHow fast the depth of a dent changes with distance. Times a body’s mass, the force on it.
EccentricityHow stretched an orbit is: 0 is a circle.
PerigeeThe Moon’s nearest point to the Earth.
NodesWhere the Moon’s tilted orbit crosses the plane of the Earth’s.
EvectionThe swing in the Moon’s position caused by the Sun stretching and relaxing its orbit.
VariationThe Moon running fast at new and full moon and slow at the quarters.
Annual equationThe month running long when the Earth is nearest the Sun.

Sources

  1. Ptolemy, Almagest (c. 150 AD); Tycho Brahe (1590s); I. Newton, Principia, Book III (1687); A. C. Clairaut (1749); E. W. Brown, Tables of the Motion of the Moon (1919). History carried as reported.
  2. Observed values of the lunar terms (evection 1.274°, Variation 0.658°, annual equation 0.186°, second ellipse term 0.214°, tilt term 0.114°, main ellipse term 6.289°) and the perigee and node periods. Standard lunar-theory values; evection amplitude and period checked 21 September 2026.
  3. The dent run: three bodies, forces from summed dents, integrated with an eighth-order method to twelve-figure accuracy. The script is kept with this memo and reproduces every figure here.

Where this sits in the series

The dent method run against the Moon’s measured motion.